reading

Congdon, P. 2001. Bayesian statistical modeling. Wiley.

Gelman, A., J.B. Carlin, H.S. Stern, and D. B. Rubin. 2004. Bayesian data analysis. 2nd edition. Chapman and Hall.

Jenkins, F. V. and T. D. Nielsen. 2007. Bayesian networks and decision graphs. Springer.

Spiegelhalter D J, Best N G, Carlin B P and van der Linde A (2002) Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit (with discussion). J. Roy. Statist. Soc. B. 64, 583-640.